QUOTE(Jon Awbrey @ Wed 28th May 2008, 11:45am)
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I have answered all of these questions, time and again, for the last 2008–2005 = 3 years, but people who are ever blowing the kinds of bubbles you are constantly blowing have never shown the least bit of cognizance of the obvious. The fact is that people who haven't been living in some kind of bubble-world since infancy will know enough to answer the questions for themselves, and the rest of you have got your brains so full of bubbles that you can't seem to hear the pinprick coming.
The pinprick where the general Internet will be no longer anonymous? Never happen, at least not in the United States. Any attempt to restrict the Internet to do this will be met with literal information warfare. Force anonymity by law? The proxies and TORs of the world will take over for distribution of "restricted" information, with technology in place already. Laws passed to bar carriers from accepting traffic from "restricted" sources, such as proxies and TORs? New technology will be trivially created to circumvent that. This entire scenario is a stock staple of much futurist-type fiction and literature, and that fiction generally comes to pass historically.
If it ends up where a "web site" such as one circulating news that is not from accredited sources is restricted comes to pass, in a world where something like
http://www.indymedia.org or a private website detailing wrongdoing by a group, government or organization is pushed underground by changing laws, because they want to post their information anonymously, and free of any possible reprisal, human ingenuity and simple binary technological advances will push right past any childish attempts to restrict them. For every law or counter-technological solution, those who want things to be "out" are always ten steps ahead.
File sharing networks compromised? They invented
WASTE and shared the idea behind it--now anyone can make an utterly secure file sharing network, and they're up and running, and all but impregnable. Want to go bigger? Create a
darknet. If they try to shut down such things it will lead to anonymously hosted entities like
Freenet basically living on darknets, or with compromised nodes like botnets, and over encryption to boot. Given that in 1st and 2nd world countries traffic speeds and costs are both rising and dropping exponentially, it will be in 10-20 years trivial from a speed perspective to run an entire operation like this off of compromised nodes on a botnet, over encryption, piggy-backing on the existing network infrastructures (IPV6, by then, I'd hope) already in place. To most high-level, even government inspection, it will be white noise and unstoppable.
Trust me, from a technological standpoint, there is no bubble waiting to burst. Maybe if we run out of oil, and petroleum and plastic products, and all nations are reduced to 3rd world status. But you know what? I know how to run a
mimeograph machine, and so do many, many others, and the message will STILL get out.