QUOTE(Somey @ Thu 24th December 2009, 6:17pm)
Why would you even bother writing all that? Why waste your time on the supposition that the WMF would simply stop in one day? Everyone knows that isn't going to happen.
Whereas, if your purpose is to demoralize or distract the opposition by explaining how the fantasy scenario isn't going to work out, meanwhile ignoring the more realistic scenario of a gradual WP decline concurrent with the rise of much better alternatives (and an eventual competitive shakeout between those alternatives), then fine - well done, but you should probably be writing about it on Wikipedia itself, where they seem to enjoy that sort of thing.
As for the rest, this is just my opinion of course, but independent critical-thinking-capable publishers and authors have increasingly been forced to get raw information from sources like Google and Wikipedia in order to keep their research costs down and reduce turnaround time. This has clearly caused sacrifices in quality - accuracy and reliability especially, but also readability and general coherence. Web-based media looks much more like cable news than it does newspapers and magazines - the emphasis is on scoops, immediacy, and oversimplification of anything resembling a difficult concept. That leads to a vicious cycle of qualitative downturn - a race to the bottom, of sorts, as more businesses and people within the system lose their credibility and are pushed out, unable to deal with the financial and practical requirements for producing quality work. So even if "professional media" survives in the near term despite pressure from Wikipedia et al, what survives isn't likely to be worth much.
I don't have that focus. It's all going to change over time. The point I'm making is that arguing about Wikipedia/WMF itself is pointless in some ways, because these aspects of Wikipedia reflect a well known and very powerful societal trend, they aren't a "cause" of it. The niche in society and culture for a crowd written source is there, what specific body fills it is going to be driven by social and cultural issues in a big way. Human nature will drive it, same as it drives that MacDonalds and pizza take over from more wholesome foods, and so on.
In brief, I think the focus of this thread is naive. The question isn't "Wikipedia is going to kill high quality media and professional encyclopedias." The question is, look at similar changes in other areas. Food, entertainment, board games, books, public speaking. A trend exists for exactly what you describe: - simplification, soundbites, quality, depth... all of these gradually become driven by mass motivators, and the core problem is discernment and quality are not very good at motivating the masses (and they should be). So markets diversify, think about walmart and macies... e-machines and apple... nike and some cheap shoe for $8... Dickens and pratchett... Eisenstein and Harry Potter... whatever. Used to be a basic education was about knowledge and betterment; now it's about a job. If there's a force that will stop that happening to knowledge, I don't know it. People (in the West) do seem to gravitate to a common denominator, and that's a bleak outlook but it seems to be what people and cultures do over time. It doesn't deny a high quality aspect too -- professional photographers, writers, datacenters, and the like.
The post above is really about how research and quality intensive areas would survive and prosper in an age of mass crowd information, and how we try and raise standards of quality against the usual trend - ie, it's more a cultural trend than an individual case example of it.
My personal answer is that we are effectively fighting some kind of entropy. Unless we get into classrooms and teach from the ground up to look for quality, think critically, research with care, we'll get the level of information we (culturally) seek. It'll be like MacDonalds and Disney - and all packaged and predigested. Yes it is discouraging. But recognition of the problem is a prerequisite for solving it. Maybe we can take this behemoth of information and somehow tilt it to higher quality. Maybe something else needs to evolve from it. But we're trying to educate a world about preferring and discerning quality here, even if it costs more or takes more time, thought, and effort... and that's not at all easy.
In the end, natural process may be what kicks in. We want hi-tech, life saving medicines, a safe planet, ... and if we don't fix education, we won't get it. Maybe that's the pressure that will ultimately change things. It's big enough, and strikes hard enough. It would be nice not to need a pressure like that to change culturally... but we might.